The virtue of excellence

Monday, October 3, 2011

Universal Failure Equation

For hard problems:

p(failure) = [100- (Talent1 /Difficulty Factor) ] [(number of tries) x (feedback quality)]

Difficulty factor = 10 (easy) or more (very hard = ~ Million).
Feedback Quality = 0-1.

Only mildly snarky.


1 Talent is on the same grading scale as IQ. 100=average

2 comments:

rightsaidfred said...

The talent/difficulty factor only varies between (approx) 20 and zero. Seems too narrow.

Aretae said...

The intent is to demonstrate my core thinking: for hard problems (my first line), even maximum intelligence / talent almost always fails on the first try.