Almost certainly, if Newt wins the nomination, I will remain in my default anarchist state, and actively abstain from the complicity that is voting. However, the election will be SO much more entertaining with Newt as the candidate that IF you like spectacle, it would be insane not to endorse him.
If I had to vote...I'd probably vote Obama over Newt...for the best of the reasons that Borepatch gives for not supporting Romney...I don't want the Rethuglicans to pass their agenda either, and with Newt, they might.
OTOH...the positive case for Newt is that
- FOUR of the supreme court justices are over 70...Ginsburg, Breyer, Kennedy, Scalia...something like a 4% chance of death on average per year per justice, over the next 8 years, given their ages.
- the party that gets us out of this recession will have their economic ideas gain traction.
- Newt is the only (non-zero probability) candidate standing that might do something actually crazy. Repeal the executive order allowing unionized federal employees. Unilaterally leave Iraq. Change the drug laws, or the FDA...push for an HSA-based Medical plan.
Interesting, related: Mead points out that the early-Abortion and gay-marriage debates are all but settled, in favor of the leftists...with (roughly) ALL young people in favor of early abortions and gay marriage. This leaves the leftists almost completely free of bogeymen with which to scare libertarian-leaners...like most of the youth in the country.
Orson Scott Card self-identifies as a conservative Mormon democrat, and endorses Newt (in the second half of the long article).
Jehu's article on Newt is also good.