Short summary of Aretae

0. We're all wrong a lot.
1. Goals come before truths.  The good > The true
2. Induction (and statistics) is the only path to truth (predictivity). Those truths are statistical, and the variance is important
• Good news: If induction teaches you that other choices work as well...that's legit.  
• Bad news: the only other path that  works as usable truth is math...and it's only inside math.  
• Good news: Science gives you a regularized method for quickly determining most falsity
• Bad news:  Complex deductive logic fails the induction test.
• Good news: The average opinion, (bet-weighted?) is a really cheap, good choice.
• Good news: Atomic analysis is MUCH stronger than holistic analysis.
3. Feedback systems FTW.  
• Measure ONLY the speed and fidelity of the feedback loop...you know the future of the system 
• ...and probably the present.
• ...for ALL systems
• See: evolution, game theory, (micro-) economics, lean, agile, learning, ...
• Evolution is the best scientific theory ever proposed
• Lean is the best business mechanism ever proposed
4. Economic growth rate (per capita) is the only social metric that matters.
• The first-glance atomic social metric is positive freedom.  
• Positive freedom REQUIRES wealth and negative freedom
• People are willing to pay (a lot) for negative freedom
• Wealth, therefore is the meta-1 metric.
• Therefore the meta-2 uber-metric is economic growth rate. 
5. Monkeybrains
• Introspection doesn't tell us the same thing as watching other people
• Each of us is basically like other people.
• Simplest answer:  introspection is wrong.
• Understand other people via observation...apply to self.
• Best current model:  
• evolved modular mind
• decisions are explained by consciousness, not made by consciousness
• heavy envy + sex components
• conscious component evolved actively to be unaware of underlying system.
• Buddhists would say: "the self is an illusion"
6. [Update] Wobbly suggests that I need this number to indicate: Summarize a lot.